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Size and ascertainment constraints often limit twin studies to concordance comparisons between identical and fraternal twins. Here we report the final results of a longitudinal, population-based study of twins with multiple sclerosis (MS) in Canada. Bias was demonstrably minimized, and an estimated 75% of all Canadian MS twin pairs were ascertained, giving a sample sufficiently large (n = 370) to permit additional informative comparisons. Twinning was not found to affect prevalence, and twins with MS did not differ from nontwins for DR15 allele frequency nor for MS risk to their siblings. Probandwise concordance rates of 25.3% (SE +/- 4.4) for monozygotic (MZ), 5.4% (+/-2.8) for dizygotic (DZ), and 2.9% (+/-0.6) for their nontwin siblings were found. MZ twin concordance was in excess of DZ twin concordance. The excess concordance in MZ was derived primarily from like-sexed female pairs with a probandwise concordance rate of 34 of 100 (34 +/- 5.7%) compared with 3 of 79 (3.8 +/- 2.8%) for female DZ pairs. We did not demonstrate an MZ/DZ difference in males, although the sample size was small. We observed a 2-fold increase in risk to DZ twins over nontwin siblings of twins, but the difference was not significant.

Original publication

DOI

10.1073/pnas.1932604100

Type

Journal article

Journal

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Publication Date

28/10/2003

Volume

100

Pages

12877 - 12882

Keywords

Canada, Databases, Factual, Diseases in Twins, Female, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Heterozygote, Homozygote, Humans, Male, Multiple Sclerosis, Recurrence, Registries, Siblings, Twins, Twins, Dizygotic, Twins, Monozygotic