Longitudinal Trajectories of Global and Domain-Specific Cognition After Stroke Using the Oxford Cognitive Screen.
Milosevich E., Kusec A., Pendlebury ST., Demeyere N.
BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment is common after stroke and linked to poor outcomes, yet long-term recovery or decline, particularly across specific cognitive domains, remains unclear. Most studies use brief global screeners with short follow-up, limiting insight into recovery patterns. This study aimed to characterize domain-specific cognitive trajectories over ≥2 years poststroke and identify predictors of persistent impairment. METHODS: Participants were recruited at a regional acute stroke unit (John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, United Kingdom; 2012-2019) and assessed acutely, at 6 months, and ≥2 years poststroke. The Oxford Cognitive Screen was administered at all timepoints. Global impairment severity was quantified by the proportion of Oxford Cognitive Screen subtasks impaired. Logistic mixed-effects models examined longitudinal change and predictors of domain-specific impairments (language, memory, attention, executive function, and number processing). Latent class growth analysis identified distinct cognitive trajectories. Models were adjusted for acute cognitive impairment severity and time. RESULTS: Of 866 patients assessed acutely, 105 were followed up at ≥2 years (98 with complete Oxford Cognitive Screen data; median, 4.1 [interquartile range, 3.3] years; mean age, 69 years, 41% female). Cognitive impairment severity improved substantially by 6 months (β=-0.11; P<0.001) and further long-term (β=-0.15; P<0.001). Acute impairment severity strongly predicted long-term outcomes (β=0.50; P<0.001), while demographic and vascular factors explained minimal variance. Latent class growth analysis identified 4 overall trajectories: no or mild acute impairment with stability (47.6%), moderate-improving (32.3%), large improvement (15.2%), and decline (4.8%). Domain-specific improvements were greatest in memory (odds ratio, 16.40 [95% CI, 5.52-48.7]) and language (odds ratio, 8.17 [95% CI, 3.17-21.1]), more limited in attention (odds ratio, 5.41 [95% CI, 2.52-11.6]) and executive function (odds ratio, 4.14 [95% CI, 1.96-8.75]). Domain models revealed additional classes of persistent or delayed recovery, particularly in executive function and attention. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive recovery is most pronounced within 6 months and continues across domains though executive dysfunction often persists. Acute impairment severity best predicted long-term outcomes, while vascular and demographic factors were less informative. Distinct trajectory classes highlight the need for individualized, long-term cognitive monitoring to guide rehabilitation and prognostication. These findings underscore the importance of long-term cognitive follow-up in stroke care and provide empirical benchmarks for recovery across domains.